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Proposed missile defense system will not protect US-EU against alleged Iranian ballistic missiles

By George N. Lewis and Theodore A. Postol

ccun.org, April 26, 2008


 
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
   MEDIA CONFERENCE CALL
TOPIC: MISSILE DEFENSE

A new analysis by George N. Lewis and Theodore A. Postol in the May/June 2008 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists reveals that the configuration of the proposed U.S. missile defense system in Europe will not adequately protect the continental United States or Europe against the postulated threat--an Iranian ballistic missile equipped with a nuclear warhead. Specific findings include:
  • The system's centerpiece radar, slated for the Czech Republic, is substantially underpowered, rendering it ineffective unless upgraded or replaced.
  • To compensate for this shortcoming, the controversial U.S. radar in Vardo, Norway will likely be a part of the system.
  • Despite U.S. claims to the contrary, defense installations in the Czech Republic and Poland are ideally suited to counter Russian missiles.
Download: The European missile defense folly (PDF 2.3 MB)


PARTICIPANTS

George N. Lewis A physicist, Lewis is associate director of the Peace Studies Program at Cornell University. His expertise is in missile defense technology, the proliferation of ballistic missiles, and nuclear arms control.

Theodore A. Postol A professor of science, technology, and national security policy at MIT, Postol is a leading authority on missile defense who previously served as scientific adviser to the Chief of Naval Operations.


RELATED MATERIAL

BY RICHARD L. GARWIN
Although the Bush administration is campaigning for ballistic missile defense in Europe, it's unlikely Iran will possess any time soon a nuclear-armed missile capability such a defense would combat.

BY DAVID WRIGHT AND LISBETH GRONLUND
The legacy of the former U.S. president's speech and the continued attempts to realize its dream remain strong today.

BY HUGH GUSTERSON
Washington is either misleading the public about the purpose of its European missile defense installations or uninformed about the program's capabilities. Whatever the case, productive dialogue suffers.


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