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84 Percent of Americans Disapprove of the Job Congress Is Doing, Poll Finds
Washington Post, By Paul Kane and Jon Cohen, Published: January 16, 2012
Lawmakers will return to Washington on Tuesday to begin an election-year work session with low expectations for any significant legislative action, while also receiving low approval ratings for themselves.
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows a new high — 84 percent of Americans — disapproving of the job Congress is doing, with almost two-thirds saying they “disapprove strongly.” Just 13 percent of Americans approve of how things are going after the 112th Congress’s first year of action, solidifying an unprecedented level of public disgust that has both sides worried about their positions less than 10 months before voters decide their fates.
It has been nearly four years since even 30 percent expressed approval of Congress, according to the Post-ABC survey, and support hasn’t recovered from the historic low it reached last fall.
In the face of the public dismay, House Republicans and Senate Democrats are fashioning less far-reaching agendas for the year ahead, in part to avoid the bitter political showdowns of 2011 and also to best position themselves for the fall elections.
Because of reelection politics, the second session for any Congress is traditionally less ambitious than the first because lawmakers are campaigning and therefore generally spend less time in Washington. This year’s legislative business, however, will take place in the shadow of $5 trillion in deficit reduction achieved through tax increases and spending cuts that are scheduled to take effect next Jan. 1 . The move was triggered by an unsuccessful effort by a congressional “supercommittee” last fall to reach a compromise on the federal deficit and expiring George W. Bush-era tax cuts.
The expectation is that fiscal issues will again be the central battleground in the presidential and congressional elections. If voters clearly embrace one party’s position over the other’s, it could tilt negotiations on a broader tax-and-spending deal in a lame-duck session after the elections or in early 2013.
In the meantime, with the House reconvening on Tuesday and the Senate returning next week, Congress is poised to resume a series of smaller skirmishes on provisions that were temporarily extended into the new year.
Most prominent among them is President Obama’s proposal to extend a payroll tax holiday for workers through this year, an issue that hamstrung House Republicans before the holidays.
Rather than agreeing on a full-year extension, Congress reached accord only on enough offsetting spending cuts to extend the tax holiday until Feb. 29. Democrats say that puts them in the driver’s seat at the start of the new session by allowing them to resume a debate that divided Republicans, many of whom opposed the provision. Senate Democrats also hope to repeatedly push smaller-bore items focusing narrowly on particular sectors, such as highway and school construction, that would either lead to bipartisan deals or demonstrate Republican obstruction to their agenda.
“The issues that are most salient in 2012 — jobs, helping the middle class, income inequality — are much better for Democrats than last year. Overall, this is going to be a much better year for us,” said Sen. Charles E. Schumer (N.Y.), the No. 3 Democratic leader.
Washington Post-ABC News PollThis Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 12 to 15, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.
*= less than 0.5 percent
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/15/12 48 25 23 48 11 37 4
12/18/11 49 25 24 47 13 34 4
11/3/11 44 22 22 53 15 37 3
10/2/11 42 21 21 54 14 40 4
9/1/11 43 21 22 53 16 38 3
8/9/11* 44 18 26 46 9 37 10
7/17/11 47 25 22 48 14 35 5
6/5/11 47 27 20 49 13 37 4
5/2/11** 56 29 27 38 14 24 6
4/17/11 47 27 21 50 12 37 3
3/13/11 51 27 24 45 12 33 4
1/16/11 54 30 23 43 15 28 3
12/12/10 49 24 25 47 15 32 4
10/28/10 50 27 23 45 11 34 5
10/3/10 50 26 24 47 13 34 3
9/2/10 46 24 22 52 14 38 3
7/11/10 50 28 22 47 12 35 3
6/6/10 52 30 22 45 12 33 4
4/25/10 54 31 23 44 11 33 3
3/26/10 53 34 20 43 8 35 3
2/8/10 51 29 22 46 12 33 3
1/15/10 53 30 24 44 13 32 2
12/13/09 50 31 18 46 13 33 4
11/15/09 56 32 23 42 13 29 2
10/18/09 57 33 23 40 11 29 3
9/12/09 54 35 19 43 12 31 3
8/17/09 57 35 21 40 11 29 3
7/18/09 59 38 22 37 9 28 4
6/21/09 65 36 29 31 10 22 4
4/24/09 69 42 27 26 8 18 4
3/29/09 66 40 26 29 9 20 5
2/22/09 68 43 25 25 8 17 7
*Washington Post
**Washington Post/Pew Research Center
Questions 2 through 4 held for release.
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/15/12 13 3 11 84 19 65 3
10/2/11 14 3 11 82 20 62 4
3/13/11 27 7 20 69 24 45 4
1/16/11 28 6 21 66 24 43 7
10/28/10 RV 23 6 17 74 21 53 3
10/3/10 24 6 18 73 22 51 3
9/2/10 25 5 20 72 21 51 4
6/6/10 26 7 20 71 20 51 2
3/26/10 24 7 18 72 18 54 4
2/8/10 26 NA NA 71 NA NA 3
7/13/08 23 71 6
2/1/08 33 59 8
12/9/07 32 60 8
11/1/07 28 65 7
9/30/07 29 65 6
7/21/07 37 60 4
6/1/07 39 " " 53 " " 8
4/15/07 44 8 36 54 25 29 3
2/25/07 41 NA NA 54 NA NA 5
1/19/07 43 50 8
12/11/06 37 " " 57 " " 6
11/4/06 RV 36 7 29 60 25 35 4
10/22/06 31 5 25 65 27 38 4
10/8/06 32 5 27 66 29 37 2
9/7/06 40 NA NA 55 NA NA 5
8/6/06 36 60 4
5/15/06 33 63 4
4/9/06 35 62 3
3/5/06 36 62 3
1/26/06 43 53 4
1/8/06 41 55 5
12/18/05 43 53 4
11/2/05 37 59 4
8/28/05 37 59 4
6/5/05 41 54 4
10/29/03 40 52 9
4/30/03 57 37 6
9/26/02 51 43 6
7/15/02 57 36 7
2/21/02 57 39 4
1/27/02 58 35 7
12/19/01 59 34 7
9/9/01 45 48 7
7/30/01 48 48 4
4/22/01 58 33 8
10/31/99 42 53 6
9/2/99 46 47 7
6/6/99 48 46 6
3/14/99 44 49 7
2/14/99 46 50 4
12/20/98 44 51 5
12/19/98 45 50 5
12/13/98 49 46 5
11/7/98 41 55 4
11/1/98 49 47 5
10/25/98 45 44 11
10/18/98 46 45 8
9/28/98 52 44 4
8/21/98 55 39 6
7/12/98 46 44 11
5/12/98 45 45 9
4/4/98 47 45 8
1/31/98 55 35 10
1/30/98 55 35 10
1/25/98 56 37 8
1/24/98 55 38 7
1/19/98 47 49 5
10/13/97 36 57 7
8/27/97 39 54 7
7/8/97 40 53 6
4/24/97 40 53 7
3/9/97 35 60 5
1/15/97 38 56 6
8/5/96 42 52 7
6/30/96 35 58 7
5/22/96 35 60 5
3/10/96 30 64 6
1/7/96 31 65 5
11/19/95 27 68 5
10/1/95 32 65 3
7/17/95 34 63 3
4/5/95 37 57 6
3/19/95 39 56 5
1/29/95 42 52 6
10/31/94 21 72 8
10/23/94 18 78 4
9/11/94 24 70 5
6/26/94 34 61 5
3/27/94 35 62 3
2/27/94 32 64 4
1/23/94 29 60 11
11/14/93 28 66 6
8/8/93 33 64 3
4/26/93 30 69 2
1/17/93 29 66 6
6/7/92 16 77 6
4/9/92 17 78 5
3/18/92 19 76 5
3/8/92 22 73 6
2/2/92 32 64 4
12/15/91 35 59 6
10/21/91 45 50 5
6/2/91 49 46 5
10/14/90 34 63 3
2/4/90 41 55 4
1/16/90 39 55 6
8/21/89 42 53 5
5/23/89 54 44 2
2/14/89 53 44 3
1/23/88* 43 53 4
6/1/87 56 40 4
6/22/85 54 37 9
5/83 33 43 24
6/81 38 40 22
6/79 19 61 20
9/78 29 49 22
6/77 34 42 24
6/75 29 54 17
8/74 48 " " 35 " " 17
*1/23/88 and previous: Gallup
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [ITEM] are doing their job?
1/15/12 - Summary Table
Approve Disapprove No opinion
a. The Democrats in Congress 33 62 5
b. The Republicans in Congress 21 75 4
Trend:
a. The Democrats in Congress
Approve Disapprove No opinion
1/15/12 33 62 5
12/18/11 27 66 7
4/17/11 36 60 4
10/3/10 36 61 3
7/18/09 47 48 5
4/24/09 45 49 6
2/22/09 50 44 6
7/13/08 35 57 8
2/1/08 39 54 7
12/9/07 40 53 6
11/1/07 36 58 6
9/30/07 38 57 5
7/21/07 46 51 2
6/1/07 44 49 6
4/15/07 54 44 2
10/8/06 48 50 3
5/15/06 39 58 4
11/2/05 41 54 5
6/5/05 42 56 3
6/6/99 51 42 7
3/14/99 51 42 7
7/8/97 45 49 6
4/5/95 36 60 4
10/31/94 39 53 8
10/23/94 36 59 5
9/11/94 41 53 6
b. The Republicans in Congress
Approve Disapprove No opinion
1/15/12 21 75 4
12/18/11 20 72 7
9/1/11 28 68 3
4/17/11 34 63 3
10/3/10 30 67 3
7/18/09 36 58 6
4/24/09 30 64 6
2/22/09 38 56 6
7/13/08 25 69 6
2/1/08 30 63 7
12/9/07 32 63 5
11/1/07 32 63 6
9/30/07 29 67 4
7/21/07 34 64 2
6/1/07 36 58 6
4/15/07 39 59 2
10/8/06 35 63 2
5/15/06 33 64 3
11/2/05 35 61 4
6/5/05 42 56 2
6/6/99 41 52 7
3/14/99 40 56 4
7/8/97 40 54 6
9/15/96 RV 46 48 6
6/30/96 38 56 6
4/5/95 45 50 5
10/31/94 33 59 7
10/23/94 31 64 5
9/11/94 35 59 6
Questions 6 through 13 held for release.
14. On another subject, how closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?
---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No
NET Very Smwt NET Not too At all opinion
1/15/12 71 30 42 28 16 12 *
12/18/11 69 26 43 31 18 13 *
11/3/11 65 24 41 34 17 17 *
10/2/11 64 24 40 36 23 13 0
9/1/11 66 25 40 34 20 14 *
7/17/11 61 18 43 39 23 15 *
6/5/11 61 22 39 38 23 15 *
15. What is the single most important issue in your choice for president?
1/15/12 11/3/11 Economy/jobs 51 56 Ethics/honesty/corruption in government 6 7 Health care 3 4 Morals/family values 3 4 Beating the Republican/re-electing Obama/Supporting the Democrats 1 2 Federal budget deficit 2 2 Taxes 2 2 Beating Obama/electing a Republican/Supporting the Republicans 1 1 Change * 1 Education 1 1 Environment * 1 Immigration/illegal immigration * 1 Leadership/strong leadership/good leader 2 1 Social Security 1 1 Terrorism/national security 2 1 Abortion * 1 Afghanistan/War in Afghanistan 1 * Experience 1 * Gas/oil prices/energy/ethanol * * Iraq/War in Iraq 1 * Housing/mortgages 1 * Foreign policy 1 * Global warming 0 0 Iran/Situation in Iran * 0 Guns/Gun control * 0 Stock market/Wall Street 0 0 Middle class Americans/helping the middle class 1 NA Other (SPECIFY) 10 10 No opinion 7 5
16. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president this year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?
----- Satisfied ----- --- Dissatisfied ---- No
NET Very Somewhat NET Somewhat Very opinion
1/15/12 61 9 52 36 23 12 3
12/18/11 59 11 48 37 27 10 4
11/3/11 59 9 50 36 27 9 5
10/2/11 62 9 54 32 25 7 6
9/1/11 65 15 51 29 21 8 6
7/17/11 54 8 46 38 29 10 8
6/5/11 47 7 40 46 38 9 7
4/17/11 43 5 38 40 30 10 17
11/1/07 69 16 54 28 22 7 2
9/7/07 68 19 49 26 21 6 5
7/21/07 65 13 53 32 26 6 3
6/1/07 68 11 56 28 22 6 4
4/15/07 65 16 49 31 27 5 3
2/25/07 73 14 58 24 20 5 3
17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?*
Less Will not No primary/
than vote caucus Already No
Cert. Prob. 50-50 50-50 (vol.) (vol.) voted op.
1/15/12 65 15 11 4 4 * 1 1
12/18/11 71 14 8 6 1 * NA *
2/1/08 68 10 9 8 4 * 1 0
1/12/08 69 12 12 4 3 * * 0
12/9/07 74 11 9 3 2 * NA *
11/1/07 68 12 11 6 3 0 “ 0
*Wording adjusted for respondents in states where primaries or caucuses have been held.
18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?*
1/15/12 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE
-------- Among gen pop ------ --------- Among RVs ----------
1/15 12/18 11/3 10/2 9/1 7/17 1/15 12/18 11/3 10/2 9/1 7/17
Mitt Romney 35 30 24 25 25 30 36 30 25 25 25 30
Newt Gingrich 17 30 12 7 6 6 16 30 12 9 5 6
Ron Paul 16 15 8 11 10 11 16 15 9 9 10 10
Rick Santorum 13 3 1 2 3 3 13 4 1 2 3 3
Rick Perry 9 7 13 16 29 8 9 6 14 17 30 8
Jon Huntsman* * 3 1 1 1 3 * 2 1 1 1 3
Michele Bachmann* 0 7 4 7 8 16 0 7 4 7 9 17
Herman Cain NA NA 23 16 4 7 NA NA 23 17 5 7
Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA NA 3 NA NA NA NA NA 3
Other (vol.) 1 * * 2 2 1 1 * 0 2 2 1
None of them (vol.) 2 1 2 5 5 2 1 1 2 4 4 2
Would not vote (vol.) 1 * 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 *
No opinion 6 4 9 7 5 8 7 4 8 7 5 9
*Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman vote in 1/15 includes those who said they voted for
them in previous primary/caucus. Those who chose Huntsman who have yet to vote were
re-allocated to their second choice candidate.
19. (ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE, NOT YET VOTED) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?
Definitely - Chance change mind- No
vote NET Good Unlikely opinion
All candidates:
1/15/12 36 60 36 24 3
12/18/11 32 64 36 28 4
11/3/11 27 69 45 24 4
Mitt Romney:
1/15/12 43 53 28 25 3
12/18/11 36 63 37 25 1
11/3/11 28 71 33 39 1
20. (ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you lean toward as your second choice?
1/15/12 - NET LEANED SECOND CHOICE
-- Among gen pop -- ---- Among RVs ----
1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11
Mitt Romney 23 21 19 24 22 21
Newt Gingrich 24 20 13 26 21 14
Ron Paul 16 12 9 14 13 9
Rick Santorum 15 7 2 16 7 3
Rick Perry 12 11 13 11 10 11
Jon Huntsman NA 4 5 9 3 5
Michele Bachmann NA 11 9 NA 10 9
Herman Cain NA NA 17 NA NA 17
Other (vol.) 2 2 1 3 2 1
No one/None of them (vol.) 3 5 4 3 6 4
Would not vote (vol.) 2 1 * 1 1 1
No opinion 2 7 6 3 5 5
21. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?
1/15/12 12/18/11 Mitt Romney 72 40 Newt Gingrich 7 35 Rick Perry 5 3 Ron Paul 4 6 Rick Santorum 2 0 Jon Huntsman * 2 Michele Bachmann NA 5 Other (vol.) * * No opinion 9 8
22. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely NOT support for the nomination for president? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED.)
1/15/12 Ron Paul 26 Newt Gingrich 23 Rick Perry 16 Rick Santorum 11 Jon Huntsman 9 Mitt Romney 8 None of these 32 No opinion 7
23. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?
Full item wording:
a. The economy
b. Healthcare
c. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage
d. The federal budget deficit
e. International affairs
1/15/12 - Summary Table
Social International
Economy Healthcare issues Deficit affairs
Mitt Romney 35 28 25 33 25
Newt Gingrich 17 18 15 20 31
Ron Paul 14 15 10 15 10
Rick Santorum 8 10 14 8 7
Rick Perry 8 6 9 7 7
Jon Huntsman 3 3 3 2 5
Other (vol.) 1 * 1 0 *
All of them (vol.) 1 2 1 * *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 * 1 1
No one/None of them (vol.) 3 5 6 6 4
No opinion 9 13 16 8 9
Trend where available:
a. The economy
1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11
Mitt Romney 35 31 22 22
Newt Gingrich 17 25 13 7
Ron Paul 14 13 7 8
Rick Perry 8 7 10 22
Rick Santorum 8 1 1 2
Jon Huntsman 3 3 2 *
Michele Bachmann NA 7 4 5
Herman Cain NA NA 19 4
Sarah Palin NA NA NA 11
Other (vol.) 1 * 0 2
All of them (vol.) 1 * 1 0
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 * 2 2
No one/None of them (vol.) 3 6 2 4
No opinion 9 7 17 12
*11/3 and previous, “which of the Republican candidates do you think would do the
best job handling the economy”
b. Health care
1/15/12 12/18/11
Mitt Romney 28 25
Newt Gingrich 18 23
Ron Paul 15 14
Rick Santorum 10 3
Rick Perry 6 6
Jon Huntsman 3 4
Michele Bachmann NA 11
Herman Cain NA NA
Sarah Palin NA NA
Other (vol.) * *
All of them (vol.) 2 *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1
No one/None of them (vol.) 5 5
No opinion 13 9
c. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage
1/15/12 12/18/11
Mitt Romney 25 26
Newt Gingrich 15 15
Rick Santorum 14 4
Ron Paul 10 12
Rick Perry 9 7
Jon Huntsman 3 3
Michele Bachmann NA 13
Herman Cain NA NA
Sarah Palin NA NA
Other (vol.) 1 0
All of them (vol.) 1 *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) * *
No one/None of them (vol.) 6 6
No opinion 16 12
d. The federal budget deficit
1/15/12 12/18/11
Mitt Romney 33 25
Newt Gingrich 20 25
Ron Paul 15 15
Jon Huntsman 2 2
Rick Santorum 8 2
Rick Perry 7 6
Michele Bachmann NA 9
Herman Cain NA NA
Sarah Palin NA NA
Other (vol.) 0 0
All of them (vol.) * *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 *
No one/None of them (vol.) 6 8
No opinion 8 9
f. No trend.
24. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think [ITEM]? (IF NEEDED) I can repeat the list. Is it (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), or (Rick Santorum)?
Full item wording:
a. Best understands the problems of people like you
b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party
c. Is the most honest and trustworthy
d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
e. Has the best experience to be president
f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he or she believes in
g. Has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president
1/15/12 - Summary Table
Under- Exper- Person-
stands Values Honest Defeat ience Believes ality
Mitt Romney 21 26 23 57 30 24 40
Ron Paul 16 9 18 7 11 19 9
Newt Gingrich 13 25 11 10 34 19 13
Rick Santorum 13 13 14 5 6 12 12
Rick Perry 10 10 8 5 7 11 8
Jon Huntsman 3 3 3 1 2 3 4
Other (vol.) * 0 * 0 0 0 0
All of them (vol.) 2 1 1 5 * 4 *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) * 1 2 1 1 1 2
No one/None of them (vol.) 12 4 12 2 2 2 2
No opinion 9 10 8 7 7 5 10
Trend where available:
a. Best understands the problems of people like you
1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 7/17/11
Mitt Romney 21 20 17 13 18
Ron Paul 16 13 7 8 9
Newt Gingrich 13 18 11 6 4
Rick Santorum 13 4 1 2 3
Rick Perry 10 7 11 17 5
Jon Huntsman 3 5 1 1 2
Michele Bachmann NA 14 6 9 11
Herman Cain NA NA 21 3 5
Sarah Palin NA NA NA 19 23
Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA 1
Other (vol.) * * 0 1 1
All of them (vol.) 2 1 1 1 1
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) * 1 2 3 1
No one/None of them (vol.) 12 10 6 8 4
No opinion 9 6 16 10 12
b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party
1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 7/17/11
Mitt Romney 26 23 20 18 19
Newt Gingrich 25 23 19 6 9
Rick Santorum 13 5 3 4 3
Rick Perry 10 7 10 19 7
Ron Paul 9 10 4 6 8
Jon Huntsman 3 3 1 1 1
Michele Bachmann NA 13 5 10 11
Herman Cain NA NA 13 3 4
Sarah Palin NA NA NA 12 20
Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA 1
Other (vol.) 0 0 0 * 1
All of them (vol.) 1 1 1 1 *
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 2 5 1
No one/None of them (vol.) 4 4 2 2 1
No opinion 10 11 20 14 14
c. Is the most honest and trustworthy
1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11
Mitt Romney 23 22 17
Ron Paul 18 14 8
Rick Santorum 14 7 2
Newt Gingrich 11 13 8
Rick Perry 8 6 7
Jon Huntsman 3 5 2
Michele Bachmann NA 15 6
Herman Cain NA NA 22
Other (vol.) * 0 0
All of them (vol.) 1 1 1
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 2 1 2
No one/None of them (vol.) 12 12 7
No opinion 8 5 17
d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election
1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 7/17/11
Mitt Romney 57 38 33 20 32
Newt Gingrich 10 28 5 5 6
Ron Paul 7 9 3 4 3
Jon Huntsman 1 3 * 1 2
Rick Perry 5 3 11 30 6
Rick Santorum 5 0 0 1 1
Michele Bachmann NA 3 1 4 7
Herman Cain NA NA 21 1 2
Sarah Palin NA NA NA 8 14
Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA 2
Other (vol.) 0 * 0 1 1
All of them (vol.) 5 3 6 4 7
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 2 2 5 2
None of them (vol.) 2 4 3 4 4
No opinion 7 8 13 10 11
e. Has the best experience to be president
1/15/12 12/18/11 7/17/11
Newt Gingrich 34 43 16
Mitt Romney 30 23 27
Ron Paul 11 8 6
Rick Perry 7 5 8
Rick Santorum 6 1 2
Jon Huntsman 2 3 2
Michele Bachmann NA 4 7
Herman Cain NA NA 3
Sarah Palin NA NA 11
Tim Pawlenty NA NA 1
Other (vol.) 0 0 1
All of them (vol.) * 0 2
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 1
No one/None of them (vol.) 2 4 4
No opinion 7 7 11
f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he believes in
1/15/12 12/18/11
Mitt Romney 24 20
Newt Gingrich 19 23
Ron Paul 19 16
Rick Santorum 12 4
Rick Perry 11 6
Jon Huntsman 3 3
Michele Bachmann NA 17
Other (vol.) 0 *
All of them (vol.) 4 2
Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 2
No one/None of them (vol.) 2 1
No opinion 5 6
g. No trend.
25. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Mitt Romney did more to (create jobs) or more to (cut jobs)?
Create jobs Cut jobs No opinion 1/15/12 50 28 23
26. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If elected, do you think Ron Paul would pursue policies that most people in this country would (accept), or do you think he would pursue policies that most people would (find unacceptable)?
Acceptable Unacceptable No opinion 1/15/12 38 50 12 12/18/11 42 46 12
27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to (support) that candidate, a major reason to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor?
1/15/12 – Summary Table
Major Major Not a
reason to reason to major No
support oppose factor op.
a. Mitt Romney’s policies on health care when
he was governor of Massachusetts 21 27 36 16
b. Ron Paul’s opposition to U.S. military
interventions overseas 25 49 19 7
c. Rick Santorum’s support for earmarks as a
U.S. Senator 14 31 38 17
Trend:
a. Mitt Romney's policies on health care when he was governor of Massachusetts
Major Major Not a
reason to reason to major No
support oppose factor op.
1/15/12 21 27 36 16
12/18/11 28 36 27 9
b. Ron Paul’s opposition to U.S. military interventions overseas
Major Major Not a
reason to reason to major No
support oppose factor op.
1/15/12 25 49 19 7
12/18/11 29 45 20 6
c. No trend.
28. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Given what you know, do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of (ITEM)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
1/15/12 – Summary Table
-- Favorable --- - Unfavorable -- No
NET Str. Smwt. NET Smwt. Str. op.
a. Gingrich’s work, since leaving elective
office, as a consultant for companies
with an interest in federal policymaking 29 8 21 51 25 26 20
b. Romney’s work buying and restructuring
companies before he went into politics 51 22 29 29 17 13 20
c. Santorum’s position that abortion should
be illegal in all cases, including in
cases of rape, incest or mortal danger
to the mother 28 18 11 65 14 51 7
Trend:
a. Gingrich’s work, since leaving elective office, as a consultant for companies
with an interest in federal policymaking
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/15/12 29 8 21 51 25 26 20
12/18/11 33 10 23 44 25 19 23
b. Romney’s work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics
------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/15/12 51 22 29 29 17 13 20
12/18/11 54 22 33 20 13 6 26
c. No trend.
29. If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP
1/15/12 - Summary Table
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Rep. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
a. Mitt Romney 46 47 * 2 3 2
b. Newt Gingrich 53 38 * 4 4 2
c. Ron Paul 49 41 1 3 4 3
d. Rick Santorum 52 39 * 3 3 2
NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS
1/15/12 - Summary Table
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Rep. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
a. Mitt Romney 46 48 * 2 2 2
b. Newt Gingrich 52 40 * 3 3 2
c. Ron Paul 49 42 1 3 3 2
d. Rick Santorum 52 41 * 2 2 2
Trend:
a. Mitt Romney
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
1/15/12 46 47 * 2 3 2
12/18/11 49 46 * 2 2 1
11/3/11 48 45 * 3 2 1
10/2/11 47 46 * 3 1 2
9/1/11 46 47 * 2 3 2
7/17/11 51 44 * 2 1 2
6/5/11 47 47 * 2 1 2
4/17/11 49 45 * 3 1 2
1/15/12 RV 46 48 * 2 2 2
12/18/11 RV 47 47 * 2 2 1
11/3/11 RV 46 47 * 3 2 1
10/2/11 RV 46 48 * 2 1 2
9/1/11 RV 45 49 * 2 2 2
7/17/11 RV 49 47 * 2 1 1
6/5/11 RV 46 49 * 2 1 2
4/17/11 RV 49 45 * 3 1 1
b. Newt Gingrich
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Gingrich (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
1/15/12 53 38 * 4 4 2
12/18/11 51 42 1 3 2 1
6/5/11 52 42 1 3 1 1
4/17/11 54 39 * 3 2 1
1/15/12 RV 52 40 * 3 3 2
12/18/11 RV 51 43 * 3 2 1
6/5/11 RV 50 44 1 2 1 2
4/17/11 RV 54 39 * 4 2 1
c. Ron Paul
Other Neither Would not No
Obama Paul (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion
1/15/12 49 41 1 3 4 3
12/18/11 50 43 * 3 2 1
7/17/11 53 41 * 2 1 3
1/15/12 RV 49 42 1 3 3 2
12/18/11 RV 49 44 * 4 2 1
7/17/11 RV 52 42 * 2 2 2
d. No trend.
30. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?
Obama Rep. candidate No opinion 1/15/12 46 49 5 12/18/11 46 49 5 10/2/11 37 55 8
31. What do you think is the bigger problem in this country – (unfairness in the economic system that favors the wealthy), or (over-regulation of the free market that interferes with growth and prosperity)?
Over- Both Neither
Unfairness regulation (vol.) (vol.) No opinion
1/15/12 55 35 5 2 4
32. (IF UNFAIRNESS OR OVER-REGULATION) Who do you think will be better able to deal with that problem (Obama) or (the Republican candidate for president)?
Obama Rep. candidate No opinion
1/15/12 47 46 7
31/32 NET:
-- Economic unfairness -- - Market over-regulation - Both Neither No
NET Obama Rep. No op. NET Obama Rep. No op. (vol) (vol) op.
1/15/12 55 35 15 4 35 7 26 2 5 2 4
Questions 33 through 34 held for release.
35. On another subject, what is your view of the tea party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?
-------- Support -------- --------- Oppose -------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion
1/15/12 40 13 28 50 23 27 10
12/18/11 42 13 28 45 20 26 13
11/3/11 43 14 29 44 20 24 13
10/2/11 42 12 30 47 20 27 11
9/1/11 47 13 35 45 18 27 8
7/17/11 44 13 31 46 23 24 10
6/5/11 46 13 33 44 21 24 10
4/17/11 42 16 26 49 21 27 10
***END***
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